Archive for the 'Visa Bulletins' Category

May 2014 Visa Bulletin Commentary

visa-passport blog picThe May 2014 Visa Bulletin was released today.  Big jump on F2B for all countries, India and China but not for Mexcio and Philippines.

Here is what my readers are looking for:

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2A remains at 8 September 2013, F2B preference advanced 103 days with PD at 1 February 2007;  F4 category advances 17 days to PD at 8 December 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has no forward movement with PD remaining 1 October 2012.

For India only:  F2A sees no movement, F2B preference F2B preference advanced 103 days with PD at 1 February 2007;  F4 category advances 17 days to PD at 8 December 2001;

There is still no movement in EB2 preference category and EB3 finally sees some forward movement of 17 days taking us to priority date 1 October 2003.

If your priority date is current, especially in the EB3 All Countries category, congratulations! We hope you file your petition in due course!

We will report on the June 2014 visa bulletin when it is released.

Important text from the May 2014 visa bulletin below.

 D.  VISA AVAILABILITY DURING THE COMING MONTHS

WORLDWIDE F2A:  From early 2013 through September 2013, the level of demand for numbers in this preference category was extremely low. As a result, the F2A cut-off date was advanced at a very rapid pace, in an attempt to generate demand so that the annual numerical limit could be fully utilized. As readers of the Visa Bulletin were advised during that time, such cut-off date advances were not expected to continue, and at some point they could stop, or retrogression might be required.

The level of demand being experienced for FY-2014 has resulted in the Worldwide F2A cut-off date being held since October. Despite no forward movement of the cut-off date, the level of demand has continued to increase dramatically. At the current rate, such demand will require a retrogression of the F2A cut-off date within the next several months. That action would be necessary to hold number use within the annual numerical limit.

MEXICO F2A:  Despite an earlier retrogression of this cut-off date, the level of demand remains extremely heavy. As a result, it is likely that another retrogression of this cut-off date will be required to hold number use within the annual numerical limit.

April 2014 Visa Bulletin Commentary

The April 2014 visa bulletin was released today.  There are no significant changes except EB3 All Countries jumps forward again – this time by 31days.  F2A for ALL countries has not moved.   Relevant section from the visa bulletin is copied below.  Our usual commentary is here:

Here’s the pertinent information most of my readers are looking for:

For ALL countries except Mexico: F2A preference remains the same as last few months with PD for all countries at 8 September 2013 and for Mexico the PD remains the same at 15 April 2012. 

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2B preference advanced 52 days with PD at 22 October 2006;  F4 category advances 15 days to PD at 22 November 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has forward movement with PD of 31 days to 1 October 2012.

For India only:  F2B preference advanced 52 days with PD at 22 October 2006;  F4 category advances 15 days to PD at 22 November 2001;

There is still no movement in EB2 and EB3 categories.

If your priority date is current, especially in the EB3 All Countries category, congratulations! We hope you file your petition in due course!

We will report on the May 2014 visa bulletin when it is released.

 

March 2014 Visa Bulletin Commentary

visa-passport blog picThe March 2014 visa bulletin was released today.  There are no signficant changes except EB3 All Countries jumps forward again – this time by 3 months.  F2A for ALL countries has not moved but Mexico sees retrogression.   Relevant section from the visa bulletin is copied below.  Our usual commentary is here:

Here’s the pertinent information most of my readers are looking for:

For ALL countries except Mexico: F2A preference remains the same as last few months with PD for all countries at 8 September 2013 and for Mexico see retrogression with PD at 15 April 2012. 

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2B preference advanced 56 days with PD at 1 September 2006;  F4 category advances 18 days to PD at 8 November 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has forward movement with PD jumping again 3 months to 1 September 2012.

For India only:  F2B preference advanced 56 days with PD at 1 September 2006;  F4 category advances 18 days to PD at 8 November 2001;

There is still no movement in EB2 and EB3 preference advances 14 days.

If your priority date is current, especially in the EB3 All Countries category,  congratulations! We hope you file your petition in due course!

We will report on the April 2014 visa bulletin when it is released.

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Below is copy text from the Visa Bulletin re. F2A for Mexico and future visa-availability news.

D.  MEXICO VISA AVAILABILITY

MEXICO F2A:   Continued heavy demand in the Mexico F2A category has resulted in the retrogression of this cut-off date to hold number use within the annual numerical limit.

It should be noted that there are many applicants with priority dates which are earlier than any listed cut-off dates. A cut-off date does not mean that everyone with a priority date before such date has already processed their case to conclusion, and received a visa.

E.  VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)

Worldwide dates:

F1:  Two to four weeks

F2A:  No forward movement is expected

F2B:  Four to seven weeks

F3:  Four to six weeks

F4:  Two or three weeks

EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)

Employment First:  Current

Employment Second:

Worldwide:  Current

China:  Three to five weeks

India:  No forward movement

Employment Third:

Worldwide:  This cut-off date has been advanced over four and one half years since last spring in an effort to generate new demand. After such a rapid advance of a cut-off date applicant demand for number use, particularly for adjustment of status cases, can be expected to increase significantly. Once such demand begins to materialize at a greater rate it could have a significant impact on this cut-off date situation. Little, if any forward movement of this cut-off date is likely during the next few months.

China:  Will remain at the worldwide date

India:  Little if any movement

Mexico:  Will remain at the worldwide date

Philippines:  Three to six weeks

Employment Fourth:  Current

Employment Fifth:  Current

The above projections for the Family and Employment categories are for what is likely to happen during each of the next several months based on current applicant demand patterns. Readers should never assume that recent trends in cut-off date movements are guaranteed for the future, or that “corrective” action will not be required at some point in an effort to maintain number use within the applicable annual limits. The determination of the actual monthly cut-off dates is subject to fluctuations in applicant demand and a number of other variables. Unless indicated, those categories with a “Current” projection will remain so for the foreseeable future.

March 2014 Visa Bulletin is Out!

The March 2014 Visa Bulletin is out.  Our usual commentary to follow soon.

February 2014 Visa Bulletin Commentary

The February 2014 visa bulletin was released yesterday.  There are no signficant changes except EB3 All Countries jumps forward again – this time by 2 months days F2A has not moved (no retrogression still).   Relevant section from the visa bulletin is copied below.  Our usual commentary is here:

Here’s the pertinent information most of my readers are looking for:

For ALL countries except Mexico: F2A preference remains the same as last few months with PD for all countries at 8 September 2013 and for Mexico only at 1 September 2013. 

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2B preference advanced 37 days with PD at 8 July 2006;  F4 category advances 21 days to PD at 22 October 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has forward movement with PD jumping again 2 months to 1 June 2012.

For India only:  F2B preference advanced 37 days with PD at 8 July 2006;  F4 category advances 21 days to PD at 22 October 2001;  

There is still no movement in EB2 and EB3 preference categories at this time.

If your priority date is current, especially in the EB3 All Countries category,  congratulations! We hope you file your petition in due course!

We will report on the March 2014 visa bulletin when it is released.

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Below is copy text from the Visa Bulletin re. F2A for Mexico.

D. MEXICO VISA AVAILABILITY

MEXICO F2B:  The level of demand during recent months has been extremely heavy, in particular for cases filed with the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services for adjustment of status processing.  Therefore, it has been necessary to retrogress the February cut-off date to May 1, 1993 in an attempt to hold number use within the annual per-country limit.  Further retrogression of this cut-off date cannot be ruled out.

MEXICO F2A:  Continued heavy demand in the Mexico F2A category will require the retrogression of this cut-off date to hold number use within the annual numerical limit.  Such action is likely to occur within the next few months.

January 2014 Visa Bulletin Commentary

The January 2014 visa bulletin was released today.  There are no signficant changes except EB3 All Countries jumps forward 184 days (about 6 months!).  F2A has not moved (no retrogression) yet.   Relevant section from the visa bulletin is copied below.  Our usual commentary is here:

Here’s the pertinent information most of my readers are looking for:

For ALL countries except Mexico: F2A preference remains the same as last month with PD for all countries at 8 September 2013 and for Mexico only at 1 September 2013. 

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2B preference advanced 30 days with PD at 1 June6;  F4 category advances 24 days to PD at 1October 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has SIGNIFICANT movement with PD JUMPING ALMOST 6 months to 1 April 2012.

For India only:  F2B preference advanced 30 days with PD at 1 June6;  F4 category advances 24 days to PD at 1October 2001;

There is no movement in EB2 and EB3 preference categories at this time.

If your priority date is current, especially in the EB3 All Countries category,  congratulations! We hope you file your petition in due course!

We will report on the February 2014 visa bulletin when it is released.

December 2013 Visa Bulletin Commentary- Retrogression is here.

visa-passport blog picDecember 2013 Visa Bulletin comes with a mixed bag of good and bad news.  While F2A has not moved (good news) and with a one year advancement of EB3 for all countries, India sees a huge retrogression in EB2 and slight retrogression in EB3.  Relevant section from the visa bulletin is copied below.  Our usual commentary is here:

The December 2013 visa bulletin was released today. Here’s the pertinent information most of my readers are looking for:

For ALL countries except Mexico: F2A preference remains the same as last month with PD for all countries at 8 September 2013 and for Mexico only at 1 September 2013. Still good news.

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2B preference advanced 40 days with PD at 1 May 2006;  F4 category advances 17 days to PD at 8 September 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has SIGNIFICANT movement with PD JUMPING one year (!) to 1 October 2011.

For India only: F2B preference advanced 40 days with PD at 1 May 2006;  F4 category advances 17 days to PD at 8 September 2001;

EB2 unfortunately sees a terrible retrogression  of 3 years and 7 months to PD 15 November 2004. (Remember the 167 jump in September? Hope you made the most of it!)

EB3 also sees slight retrogression of 21 days (remember big jump of 244 days  in September too?) leaving PD at 01 Sept 2003.

Reminder that October is the beginning of the fiscal year.  We will write about the January 2014 Visa Bulletin when it is released in due course.

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D. RETROGRESSION OF EMPLOYMENT CUT-OFF DATES
The India Employment Second and Third preference category cut-off dates were advanced very rapidly at the end of fiscal year 2013.  Those movements were based strictly on the availability of thousands of “otherwise unused” numbers which could be made available without regard to the preference per-country annual limits.

The movements have resulted in a dramatic increase in the level of applicant demand received in recent months.  This has required the retrogression of those cut-off dates for December in an effort to hold number use within the numerical limits.

E.  VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)

Worldwide dates:

F1:  Three to five weeks

F2A: No forward movement, the Mexico cut-off date is likely to retrogress
at some point

F2B: Three to five weeks

F3:  Three to five weeks

F4:  Two or three weeks

EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)

Employment First:  Current

Employment Second:

Worldwide:  Current

China:  Three to five weeks

India:  No forward movement

Employment Third:
Worldwide:  This cut-off date has been advanced extremely rapidly during the past seven months in an effort to generate new demand.  As the rate of applicants who are able to have action on their cases finalized increases, it could have a significant impact on the cut-off date situation.  The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date should not be expected to continue beyond February.

China:        Expected to remain at the worldwide date

India:        No forward movement

Mexico:       Expected to remain at the worldwide date

Philippines:  Three to six weeks

Employment Fourth: Current

Employment Fifth:  Current

The above projections for the Family and Employment categories are for what is likely to happen during each of the next few months based on current applicant demand patterns.  Readers should never assume that recent trends in cut-off date movements are guaranteed for the future, or that “corrective” action will not be required at some point in an effort to maintain number use within the applicable annual limits.  The determination of the actual monthly cut-off dates is subject to fluctuations in applicant demand and a number of other variables.  Unless indicated, those categories with a “Current” projection will remain so for the foreseeable future.

December 2013 Visa Bulletin out!

A few moments ago, the December 2013 Visa Bulletin was released.  Here is a link. http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_6211.html.  Our usual commentaries to follow shortly.  But headline is that the F2A cateogory has not retrogressed.  It remains at 8 Sept. 2013.  That is good news.  We will be updating the other categories soon.  Stay tuned!

November 2013 Visa Bulletin Commentary

visa-passport blog picThe November 2013 visa bulletin was released today. Here’s the pertinent information most of my readers are looking for:

 

For ALL countries except Mexico: F2A preference remains the same as last month and Mexico retrogressed a week (that is still great news).

 

For all countries except India, China, Philippines, and Mexico: F2B preference advanced 21 days with PD at 22 March 2006;  F4 category advances 14 days to PD at 22 August 2001;  EB2 is current and, and EB3  has SIGNIFICANT movement with PD JUMPING 102 days to 10 October 2010 (you may recall there was a huge jump of 547 days in September 2013).

For India only: F2B preference advanced 21 days with PD at 22 March 2006;  F4 category advances 14 days to PD at 22 August 2001;  EB2 has no movement (remember the 167 jump in September?) leaving PD at 15 June 2008 and EB3 has no movement either (remember big jump of 244 days  in September too?) leaving PD at 22 Sept 2003.

Reminder that October is the beginning of the fiscal year.  We will write about the December 2013 Visa Bulletin when it is released in due course.

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Below is a copy of the text from the November 2013 bulletin about visa availability.

D. VISA AVAILABILITY

It is important to remember that the establishment of a monthly cut-off or “Current” status for a numerically controlled category (preference or Diversity) applies to those applicants who were reported prior to the allocation of visa numbers for that month.  For example, all qualified applicants who were reported to the Visa Office in time to be included in the calculation of the September cut-offs, who had a priority date or rank-order number before the relevant September cut-off, would have been allotted visa numbers for September.  There would be no expectation, however, that sufficient numbers would be available for the processing of cases which subsequently became eligible for final action during that month.  Additional numbers may be allocated outside the regular monthly cycle, but only to the extent that such numbers remain available under the applicable annual limit.  The availability of additional numbers is subject to change at any time and should never be taken for granted.  This is especially true late in the fiscal year when numerical allocations are often close to or at the annual limits.

When applicants fail to appear or overcome a refusal (even for reasons beyond their control) during the original month of scheduled interview, they risk not having their case processed later in the fiscal year.  This is because the unused numbers that had originally been allocated for their case are returned at the end of their interview month to the “pool” of numbers available for allocation in subsequent months to other applicants being reported for their “first time” interview.

EMPLOYMENT-based Third Preference:

China:  Rapid forward movement of the cut-off date, as a result of there being insufficient demand to use all available numbers, allowed the category to reach the Worldwide Third preference cut-off date in May 2013.  The continued lack of demand has allowed the “otherwise unused” numbers available under that limit to be provided for use in the China Employment Third preference Other Workers category.  The continued addition of those numbers has allowed the cut-off date for that category to reach the China Third preference date for November.  This is the same action which has been possible for the Other Worker category in other “oversubscribed” countries such as India and Mexico. A sudden increase in demand for China Employment Third preference visas could require corrective action in the China Other Worker cut-off date at any time.

November 2013 Visa Bulletin out!

Just a few moments ago, the Department of State released the November 2013 Visa bulletin.  Here is a link. Our usual commentary to follow shortly

http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_6168.html


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